Nick Mamatas ([info]nihilistic_kid) wrote,
@ 2005-09-02 22:30:00
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Day 1 then Day 2, or, How to Get The Most Out Of the News
In areas with little in the way of communication, many less-than-100%-reliable witnesses (which is every witness), and with a 24 hour news cycle, what happens is this.

Journalists say things that aren't true.

For example, on Tuesday, Children's Hospital was on the verge of being overrun by looters, and the cops and the National Guard were refusing to or unable to come to the aid of 100 child patients and their frightened doctors. This was stated by a governor's aide. On Wednesday, one of the biggest issues the hospital faced was trying to dispel that rumor. It never happened.

Here's another rumor: the looters are shooting at the rescue helicopters!!!

Well, here's the original report: New Orleans evacuation suspended as shots fired.

But look at the story. Who is the source? It's not the military, not the pilot, it's not based on footage or a recording of the event, it's the head of an ambulance corp. He says a shot was fired. Before daybreak. So, how does he know the copter was the target? How does he know a civilian was the person who fired the gun? How does he know it was a gun, and not some other noise -- a vehicle backfiring, something falling, a small explosion far off, etc.?

Well, he doesn't know.

This report not only became "Oh my God, someone shot at a rescue copter!" it became, via telecasters's need to fill space and audience credulity, "The looters are shooting at the copters!" And there were other such reports too, mostly as poorly sourced, and full of misused terminology like "sniper". (Sniping actually takes a fair amount of skill; some schmuck in a white shirt on a street corner firing a whatever and missing everything is, at best, engaging in an ambush, not sniping. That Washington DC area "sniper" from a couple years ago was equally misnamed). And these street-level shots (if they were even aimed at the hospital personnel or the military escort) also transmuted into "They're shooting at the rescue copters!!!" despite the fact that this second story says no such thing. "They're shooting in earshot of a convoy of amphibious vehicles, according to the civilian doctor that was in a poor position to see anything!" doesn't quite have the same ring to it, I guess.

But, yesterday, Laura Brown, a Federal Aviation Administration spokeswoman in Washington, said she had no such report [about the Superdome shooting].

"We're controlling every single aircraft in that airspace and none of them reported being fired on," [emphasis mine] she said, adding that the FAA was in contact with the military as well as civilian aircraft.


So, what's up? Well, what's up is the same thing that was up when early reports on 9/11 stated that the Capitol Building was under attack by car bombs and that there were 25,000 fatalities at the World Trade Center. (Ultimately, there were fewer than 3000.) It's the same thing that occurred when the WMDs were found by American troops any number of times -- the "dozen shells"; the "half-buried tents of chemical drums"; the "remnants of a mobile biological weapons lab." Or how about when the US forces finally captured alive that leading Iraqi "Chemical Ali" in August 2003, whom they had "killed" to great fanfare in April 2003.

There's no conspiratorial evil at work, it's just that things are reported as reports, and because every second of the day has to be filled with news thanks to the demands of advertisers and the political economies of cable and network televsion, the reports of reports are repeated until the word "report" is dropped. Reports become facts and then through ever more reputation become patterns. From this, a narrative emerges. Someone hears something that sounds like a gunshot near a helicopter becomes "They're shooting at the rescue copters!!!" and this becomes "The looters want to claim the city for their own; they have the power now!!" That such a narrative dovetails nicely with the good ol' fashioned nigger-hate that informs the lives of a significant fraction of the viewers (and certainly newspeople aren't going to necessarily be immune either) gives the story extra power.

Even when race isn't a factor, other things are. 25,000 is a decent-enough guess for the number of people who might be in WTCs 1 and 2 throughout the course of a September day. The US military really did pick up signs of WMDs all those times; field equipment is designed to be very sensitive, and lots of false positives are the end result. Better a dozen false positives than a single false negative when it comes to force protection.

So news people hear things that aren't true and things that are true, and say them all. They're supposed to say that their reports are only possibly true, or that the truth they are reporting is contingent on a better understanding, more information, and increased perspective, but often they just say any ol' shit that comes to mind, especially if it keeps you watching and they have great gaps of time -- usually there are only about two hours of news spread over a 24 hour day -- to fill.

So what shall an eager news consumer do? I have a couple of suggestions.

1. Get most of your news from text sources, not tv, and especially not 24 hour news channels. People on news channels can't just say "Well, we have nothing new, and no confirmations, and we're certainly not going to deny what we said to a bunch of people who probably weren't even watching four hours ago, so Wolf and I are going to take up these puppets, duck behind our desks, and do a few Punch and Judy sketches for you." They'll go on and on. Half the impetus behind the personality-based format of Fox News is that 30 minute and hour-long shows with guests fill time more efficiently than EFP crews and an anchor.

Even with that format, folks will ramble. CNN runs an editorial/commentary show with Jack Cafferty and Wolf Blitzer called The Situation Room. I made the error of tuning in the other day when they were talking about this Jack Shafer's Slate magazine commentary on the relative failure of the media to discuss race in the New Orleans evacuation. Cafferty, who does a Jacob Javits act to Bill O'Reiley's Trent Lott schtick, was gonna be all tough and play is straight and yes, take up the challenge and talk about race. But he had nothing to say, and his sideman, Wolf Blitzer, could only say "Yes, we've seen the images. These people are soooo poor and soooo black." I half-expected Joanne Whorley to pop out of a cabinet and say "How black are they?" Disappointed, I turned off the tv.

Now text-based news can be problematic, but there isn't a need to ramble. The news reportage cycle on news channels is necessarily continuous, but ENG by definition cannot be. Cameras have to move places, legwork has to be done, reporters have to wait for press conferences, sleep, recharge their batteries, etc. The Web allows for an infinite number of column inches, but doesn't necessitate that they all be filled. Repeated material is generally copied and pasted; you recognize it more easily as the same anecdote or quote and not a new one. You can also more easily save texts; google has caches, most websites have archives, you can copy and paste them into your own Word or Notepad file. You can follow the story more easily; note how narratives emerge, check out the sources, etc.

Text reporters also don't chase images quite so much either; they're more likely to stick with a story, to follow-up the next day with a source or try to find a corroborating source. The tv depends on the truth of the unblinking eye, except that a single eye that doesn't blink is still half-blind.


2. Don't believe anything said on Day 1 until it it confirmed on Day 2. Not repeated. Confirmed. And even then, you might want to give it a few months, checking back occasionally.

There, now with these tips, please feel free to go back to biting your nails over the same images and the same news that you first came across before dinner this afternoon.


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[info]jonquil
2005-09-03 02:43 am UTC (link)
Unfortunately, my text sources tend to get their news from CNN... (see the Times-Picayune, for instance)

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[info]nihilistic_kid
2005-09-03 02:49 am UTC (link)
As long as they update. Someone typing up copy is less likely to say something dumb than someone sitting in front of a camera. A newscaster, summarizing a situation as part of asking a question, for example, may say something like "Governor, we have people shooting at the rescue helicopters; how do you plan to curb the violence?"

What was a supposition becomes a fact.

A text-based report is more likely to factcheck and exclude the text of the question, and then just report a quote-sized answer.

(Reply to this) (Parent)

The text base is bigger now, though~ - [info]nerak_g, 2005-09-03 01:41 pm UTC (Expand)

[info]matociquala
2005-09-03 02:47 am UTC (link)
Nick, you're doing yeoman's work with this stuff. Thank you.

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[info]altamira16
2005-09-03 02:56 am UTC (link)
[info]infojunkies could use a good dose of this post.

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[info]panghule
2005-09-03 03:00 am UTC (link)
I keep CNN on, but with the volume off. Funny thing is, I learn more that way.

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[info]buscemi
2005-09-03 03:03 am UTC (link)
I had my doubts about the media, especially in this case.

"We don't have the correct information, but at least we're reporting it first!"

;)

(Reply to this)


[info]st_rev
2005-09-03 03:28 am UTC (link)
Yes.

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[info]faithhopetricks
2005-09-03 03:38 am UTC (link)
There's no conspiratorial evil at work, it's just that things are reported as reports, and because every second of the day has to be filled with news thanks to the demands of advertisers and the political economies of cable and network televsion, the reports of reports are repeated until the word "report" is dropped. Reports become facts and then through ever more reputation become patterns. From this, a narrative emerges.

((applauds)) Yes, yes yes -- I've been preaching the evils of 24-hour "news" networks for years myself. Damn straight.

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[info]nihilistic_kid
2005-09-03 03:54 am UTC (link)
You watch CNN all the time!

(Reply to this) (Parent)(Thread)(Expand)

(no subject) - [info]faithhopetricks, 2005-09-03 04:10 am UTC (Expand)

[info]incorruptibles
2005-09-03 04:17 am UTC (link)
Reeding is two HARD. Me like TV.

(Reply to this) (Thread)

TV can be bad for you though
[info]groundbyground
2005-09-03 06:19 am UTC (link)

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[info]roxann_ireland
2005-09-03 04:22 am UTC (link)
Thank you. I was just asking about this in my own journal.

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[info]poukledden
2005-09-03 04:29 am UTC (link)
Thank you, Nick, for this post. I linked it on my blog to tell everyone to read it. We can all use the reminder, I think, to be conscious consumers of news, rather than passive receptacles for "info" dumps. Especially at a time like this, when we feel a need for lots of information.

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[info]rare_exile
2005-09-03 04:48 am UTC (link)
Thank you for this.

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[info]ayodele
2005-09-03 05:03 am UTC (link)
i'd like to link this one too, please!

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[info]nihilistic_kid
2005-09-03 05:08 am UTC (link)
No need to ask. Why put things on the web, in public, if they couldn't be linked to?

(Reply to this) (Parent)(Thread)(Expand)

(no subject) - [info]ayodele, 2005-09-03 05:13 am UTC (Expand)
(no subject) - [info]rollick, 2005-09-03 07:05 pm UTC (Expand)
Patience is Key
[info]acertaindoebear
2005-09-03 05:31 am UTC (link)
Brilliant, thank you.

I think what also needs to be pointed out to folks is that the very nature of what is reported and what is not reported can colour folks' interpretations. For example, Fox News seems to be all about Menace and Danger while something like CBC is very big on the Human Interest Stories.

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[info]bike4fish
2005-09-03 08:34 am UTC (link)
For major US stories, I usually look at the Guardian Unlimited from England or the Mail and Guardian in South Africa.

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[info]white_swan
2005-09-03 10:58 am UTC (link)
Hey, I just added you because it seems we have a lot in common, including some terrific LJ friends. What you are saying is right ON. Add me back if you wish; I look forward to reading your journal.

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[info]jenlight
2005-09-03 12:00 pm UTC (link)
one of the three robots on "Fox and Friends" just asked, "are they shooting at the helicopters again?"

I have morbid curiosity this morning.

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[info]ozkan
2005-09-03 03:27 pm UTC (link)
Did you write this up yourself ? It's excellent and highly relevant.

(Reply to this) (Thread)

Of course I did.
[info]nihilistic_kid
2005-09-03 04:30 pm UTC (link)
Yeah I know, it's not like the rest of my journal at all!

(Reply to this) (Parent)


[info]niyabinghi
2005-09-03 03:55 pm UTC (link)
Can I post this over on [info]poor_planning?

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[info]nihilistic_kid
2005-09-03 04:32 pm UTC (link)
Link it, sure.

(Reply to this) (Parent)


[info]badgerbag
2005-09-03 04:57 pm UTC (link)
Hey, great analysis. I noticed the unconfirmed status of the "shooting at rescue copters" rumor. When it first came out and then in news stories afterward. I'm glad you're pointing this out. Now, if we can get CNN or the NYTimes to report on it too. You should write this up slightly more neatly and offer it to Salon immediately.

(Reply to this)

Thank you.
[info]substitute
2005-09-03 06:55 pm UTC (link)
That was nicely done, especially the emphasis on text sources and waiting a day. I spread at least one mistaken report by ignoring the second rule, but fortunately was corrected quickly.

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[info]kahoki
2005-09-03 07:00 pm UTC (link)
All of the talking heads on CNN and looters stealing electronics should be brought in to help remove bodies from the receeding waters and from collapsed structures. The lack of cognitive news and break down of society there has been sickening to watch unfold.

(Reply to this) (Thread)

Re: "looters stealing electronics"
[info]mizducky
2005-09-03 07:39 pm UTC (link)
Given the content of the initial post, I am now even more skeptical than I already was about the veracity of the "looters stealing electronics" scenario. I am willing to bet that, when a sober analysis is finally done, the majority of these "reports" of electronics-looting will turn out to be as illusory as the "reports" of Charity hospital overrun by looters and of rescuers shot at by "snipers," and the vast majority of the "looting" incidents will turn out to have been seizures of food, water, and other necessities of life done by desperate people deprived of aid.

I am reminded of the national reportage of the little earthquake that shook the Seattle area a few years ago. There was so little visible damage that all the news services were reduced to broadcasting, over and over, the same couple of *very tight shots* of the few piles of rubble that did exist--tight enough to (barely) hide the fact that one of the most-filmed rubble piles was in fact about the size of a barrelful of bricks. Those of us living in Seattle at the time, who had eyeballed that oft-filmed mound of bricks (IIRC it was on the sidewalk next to the Icon Grill), thought it was absolutely hysterical that this was what the media chose to hype as a lead image of our "disaster." Alas, when the disinformation in question concerns not a blessedly small earthquake but a huge disaster and bungled recovery operation, such disinformation is tragically far from a laughing matter.

(Reply to this) (Parent)(Thread)(Expand)

Re: "looters stealing electronics" - [info]nihilistic_kid, 2005-09-03 07:46 pm UTC (Expand)
Re: "looters stealing electronics" - [info]mizducky, 2005-09-03 09:25 pm UTC (Expand)
Re: "looters stealing electronics" - [info]nihilistic_kid, 2005-09-03 09:30 pm UTC (Expand)
Re: "looters stealing electronics" - [info]mizducky, 2005-09-03 09:32 pm UTC (Expand)
Re: "looters stealing electronics" - [info]whumpdotcom, 2005-09-03 09:46 pm UTC (Expand)
Re: "looters stealing electronics" - [info]kahoki, 2005-09-04 07:03 am UTC (Expand)

[info]sammka
2005-09-03 07:19 pm UTC (link)
Thanks! This is really helpful.

That said, the DC sniper wasn't misnamed. He was trained by our very own military and didn't often miss. This is why he was so hard to catch - if he'd been shooting out of the back of that van and had to shoot several times in order to get someone, it'd be easier to see where the shots were coming from and chase him down on the scene.

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[info]nihilistic_kid
2005-09-03 07:31 pm UTC (link)
No, you're wrong. John Muhmmed was trained as an engineer in the military. Like anyone else, he received some firearms training as part of basic, and scored "Expert" but that's no more than any soldier could score on a good day. He used a civilian deer rifle, did no precision shooting, and didn't "often miss" because he was firing from 100 yards away or less. You could do that too with a bit of practice.

A surprise attack from a concealed or unusual position is an ambush. To say that one is a "sniper", especially one "trained by our very own military" is something different indeed: precision shooting, detailed planning, stalking, advanced overland navigation, camouflage, hide-site construction, communications, report writing, photography, and recognition of dozens of vehicles, weapons, and aircraft make up sniper training.

Muhammed had none of it. Neither did his young accomplice.

(Reply to this) (Parent)(Thread)(Expand)

(no subject) - [info]sammka, 2005-09-03 07:56 pm UTC (Expand)
(no subject) - [info]nihilistic_kid, 2005-09-03 08:02 pm UTC (Expand)
(no subject) - [info]sammka, 2005-09-03 08:08 pm UTC (Expand)
(no subject) - [info]nihilistic_kid, 2005-09-03 08:14 pm UTC (Expand)
(no subject) - [info]sammka, 2005-09-03 08:10 pm UTC (Expand)
(no subject) - [info]nihilistic_kid, 2005-09-03 08:17 pm UTC (Expand)
(no subject) - [info]the_simon, 2005-09-05 01:20 am UTC (Expand)
(no subject) - [info]nihilistic_kid, 2005-09-05 01:32 am UTC (Expand)
(no subject) - [info]the_simon, 2005-09-05 03:30 am UTC (Expand)
(no subject) - [info]nihilistic_kid, 2005-09-05 03:35 am UTC (Expand)

[info]purejuice
2005-09-03 07:25 pm UTC (link)
kudos to text sources. thank you. i have linked to this over at [info]poor_planning which i'm shamelessly pimping as a think tank for the revolution.

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[info]normanrafferty
2005-09-03 07:48 pm UTC (link)
I wonder -- nay, I hope -- a generation of people are growing up who not only don't believe everything they see on TV and read on the interweb, but are also learning that everything the see or hear is biased, if only that someone had to choose to say it in the first place.

(Reply to this)


[info]rfrancis
2005-09-03 10:22 pm UTC (link)
#2 is important, because #1 didn't stop me from being the big idiot on at least a couple of occasions post-hurricane. Why? Well, because despite the fact that I follow #1 with great zeal (24-hour news networks being the bane of civilization on a good day), I occasionally screw up and listen to, well, friends. Some of whom, I'm thinking, watch 24-hour news networks.

Remember, you can be skeptical of what friends say about the news while being their friends. Heck, you can be skeptical of all the nonsense that comes out of the mouths (or keyboards) of your friends. It's okay. [info]nihilistic_kid and I have been friends like that for years. (Although I have found a lot of what he's said to be truer than I initially realized.) And this is where #2 comes in: wait for someone more credible than your friends (this leaves out 24-hour news networks, and most if not all bloggers, I'm thinking) to confirm. Later. After the story's made the usual rounds and people have had time to analyze it and report on it.

Good post, man. I think I'm gonna scrapbook a copy of it.

-R

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